FINAL 2017 BRACKET PROJECTION

 

Seed EAST (NYC) MIDWEST (KC) WEST (SJOSE) SOUTH (MEM)
1 Villanova (BigEast) Kansas (Big 12) Gonzaga (WCC) Kentucky (SEC)
2 North Carolina UCLA Arizona (Pac 12) Duke (ACC)
3 Baylor Butler Florida State Oregon
4 Florida Virginia Louisville West Virginia
5 SMU (AAC) Wisconsin Iowa State Purdue
6 Creighton Notre Dame Maryland Cincinnati
7 Michigan (B1G) Minnesota St Mary’s Dayton
8 Miami FL Seton Hall Northwestern Virginia Tech
9 Rhode Island (A10) Vanderbilt Arkansas Marquette
10 VCU Nevada (MWC) Wichita State (MVC) South Carolina
11 UNC-Wilmington (CAA) Michigan State Xavier Oklahoma State
12 Kansas St / WakeForest East Tenn St (SoCon) Georgia / USC Middle Tennessee (C-USA)
13 Vermont (A-East) Winthrop (BigSouth) New Mexico State (WAC) Princeton (IVY)
14 Iona (MAAC) FGCU (A-SUN) Bucknell (PAT) Northern Kentucky (HOR)
15 Kent State (MAC) Texas Southern (SWAC) Troy (SUN) NC Central (MEAC)
16 Mt St Mary’s (NEC) / Jacksonville State (OVC) South Dakota State (SUM) / UC Davis (Big West) North Dakota (BigSky) New Orleans (SLAND)

First Four OUT:  Clemson, Iowa, Indiana, Providence

 

The Final Countdown Begins…

North Carolina has finally made its way onto the No. 1 line here.  What took so long?  Well, prior to yesterday’s win over Miami, the Tar Heels–believe it or not–did not own a single win against an ACC tourney-bound team away from Chapel Hill.  That made yesterday’s win very significant and enough for us to finally justify UNC’s inclusion on the top line.  A loss to Duke tonight would make the Heels vulnerable to Kentucky or the Pac-12 champ stealing the final No. 1.

Locks added to the field since yesterday include Northwestern, Vanderbilt and Xavier.  The former two won games each was expected to, but more importantly avoided a questionable loss heading into Selecton Sunday.  The latter earned its lock with a huge win over Butler in the Big East Quarterfinal.

Along with Xavier, Kansas State vaulted itself out of First Four territory and up a seed line with a big win.  The Wildcats’ win over Baylor, its second this season, puts them in fairly safe territory.  Losing to West Virginia tonight wouldn’t hurt at all, but the handful of bubble-hopefuls still playing have a chance to surge past K-State with deep tourney runs.

Seed MIDWEST (KC) EAST (NYC) WEST (SJOSE) SOUTH (MEM)
1 Kansas (Big 12) Villanova (BigEast) Gonzaga (WCC) North Carolina (ACC)
2 Oregon (Pac-12) Baylor UCLA  Kentucky (SEC)
3 Duke Florida State Butler Arizona
4 Virginia Florida Louisville West Virginia
5 Purdue (B1G) Notre Dame Cincinnati Maryland
6 Creighton Wisconsin Minnesota Iowa State
7 St Mary’s South Carolina SMU Virginia Tech
8 Miami FL Michigan Northwestern Seton Hall
9 Marquette Dayton (A-10) Oklahoma State Vanderbilt
10 Arkansas Xavier VCU Wichita State (MVC)
11 Kansas State UNC-Wilmington (CAA) Wake Forest / Michigan St Middle Tennessee (CUSA)
12 Vermont (A-East) Houston (AAC) Nevada (MWC) Rhode Island / USC
13 E Tenn St (SoCon) Winthrop (BigSouth) UT-Arlington (SUN) Princeton (IVY)
14 Akron (MAC) Cal St Bakersfield (WAC) Bucknell (PAT) FGCU (A-Sun)
15 Iona (MAAC) Northern Kentucky (HOR) EWU (Big Sky) Texas Southern (SWAC)
16 New Orleans (SLAND) / South Dakota State (SUM) Mt St Mary’s (NEC) / Jacksonville State (OVC) UC Irvine (BigWest) NC Central (MEAC)

First Four OUT:  Georgia, Clemson, Indiana, Providence

Still Alive:  California, TCU, Ole Miss, Alabama

A couple more locks, Miami and Michigan, were added to the total since yesterday.  That brings the total number of at-large locks to a maximum of 31 and a minimum of 24.  As potential auto-bid stealers from the Big East, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC fall in the next couple days, that number will become clearer.

A minor change on the 4-5 lines, as Florida and Purdue swapped spots.  This was a ripple effect from Nebraska’s loss to Penn State in the B1G Opening Round game, which dropped the Huskers out of the RPI Top 100.  Purdue lost to Nebraska during the regular season.

Seed MIDWEST (KC) EAST (NYC) WEST (SJOSE) SOUTH (MEM)
1 Kansas (Big 12) Villanova (BigEast) Gonzaga (WCC) UCLA
2 Kentucky (SEC) North Carolina (ACC) Oregon (Pac 12) Baylor
3 Butler Arizona Louisville Duke
4 Virginia Florida West Virginia Florida State
5 Cincinnati Purdue (B1G) Notre Dame Maryland
6 Wisconsin SMU Minnesota Creighton
7 Virginia Tech Iowa State St Mary’s South Carolina
8 Seton Hall Miami FL Northwestern Marquette
9 Michigan Oklahoma State Arkansas Dayton
10 Wichita State (MVC) Wake Forest Vanderbilt USC
11 Middle Tenn (CUSA)   Xavier / Mich St UNC-Wilmington (CAA) VCU / Kansas St
12 Vermont (AEast) Houston (AAC) Nevada (MWC) Rhode Island (A10)
13 E Tenn St (SoCon) Winthrop (BigSouth) UT-Arlington (SUN) Princeton (IVY)
14 Akron (MAC) Cal St Bakersfield (WAC) Bucknell (PAT) FGCU (A-Sun)
15 Iona (MAAC) Northern Kentucky (HOR) EWU (Big Sky) Texas Southern (SWAC)
16 New Orleans (SLAND) / South Dakota State (SUM) Mt St Mary’s (NEC) / Jacksonville State (OVC) UC Irvine (BigWest) NC Central (MEAC)

First Four OUT:  Clemson, Georgia, Iowa, Providence

Bucknell was the only automatic bid earned on Wednesday, which brings the total number of secured spots in the field to 45.

 

Four More Days…

Gonzaga all but cemented a No. 1 seed with a win over St Mary’s in the WCC Championship game.  That leaves just one top seed still in play.  The main candidates left are North Carolina, Kentucky, Baylor, Oregon and UCLA.  For now the Bruins hold the top spot, but will probably have to win the Pac-12 Tournament (which will likely involve beating Arizona and Oregon) to keep it.

With a win yesterday in the ACC Opening Round, Wake Forest has a stronger hold on an at-large bid.  The Deacons shouldn’t need to beat Virginia Tech tonight; but with a loss they–along with the other teams on the 9 and 10 lines–are slightly vulnerable to teams on the bubble passing them with quality wins later in the week.  One of those teams is  Clemson, which can play its way into the tentative bracket with a win against Duke today.

Seed MIDWEST (KC) EAST (NYC) WEST (SJOSE) SOUTH (MEM)
1 Kansas (Big 12) Villanova (BigEast) Gonzaga (WCC) UCLA
2 Kentucky (SEC) North Carolina (ACC) Oregon (Pac 12) Baylor
3 Butler Arizona Louisville Duke
4 Virginia Purdue (B1G) West Virginia Florida State
5 Cincinnati Florida Notre Dame Maryland
6 Wisconsin SMU Minnesota Creighton
7 Virginia Tech Iowa State St Mary’s South Carolina
8 Seton Hall Oklahoma State Northwestern Marquette
9 Michigan Miami FL Arkansas Dayton
10 Wichita State (MVC) Wake Forest Vanderbilt USC
11 Middle Tenn (CUSA)   Xavier / Mich St UNC-Wilmington (CAA) VCU / Kansas St
12 Vermont (AEast) Houston (AAC) Nevada (MWC) Rhode Island (A10)
13 E Tenn St (SoCon) Winthrop (BigSouth) UT-Arlington (SUN) Princeton (IVY)
14 Akron (MAC) Cal St Bakersfield (WAC) Bucknell (PAT) FGCU (A-Sun)
15 Iona (MAAC) Northern Kentucky (HOR) EWU (Big Sky) Texas Southern (SWAC)
16 New Orleans (SLAND) / South Dakota State (SUM) Mt St Mary’s (NEC) / Jacksonville State (OVC) UC Irvine (BigWest) NC Central (MEAC)

Four more automatic bids were given out Tuesday night, as Mt St Mary’s, Northern Kentucky and South Dakota State  join Gonzaga in the field.

NKU sits on the 15 line currently, but has a shot to slide up if favorites in the Ivy or Patriot League (whose championship is tonight) fail to earn auto bids.  With 16 losses and a sub-500 record against D-1 opponents, South Dakota State moves in to one of the First Four slots on the 16 line.