2016 NCAA Tournament Projections – 54 Hours to Go!!


NCAA basketball tournament bracket 3-11.1


Changes from Thursday revolve more around changes on the seed line, as opposed to teams playing their way in our out.

No changes on the 1-3 lines.  On the 4 line, Duke remained a 4 despite its loss to Notre Dame.  However, it is now the lowest-ranked of the 4’s, meaning it is now matched up in the Kansas bracket.  Arizona slid up from a 5 to a 4 after getting past Colorado in its Pac-12 Quarterfinal.  Iowa State makes the corresponding drop to a 5 after a close loss to Oklahoma.  Baylor now joins ISU on the 5 line after beating Texas a second time.

It was a rough day for two Big Ten locks:  Iowa and Wisconsin.  Each team lost unexpectedly Thursday, and a result took a hit on the seed lines.  Iowa falls to a 7 for the time being after a loss to Illinois, and might have avoided falling further thanks in part to Wisconsin’s loss to Nebraska.

As for potential locks on Friday, the winner of Connecticut vs Cincinnati will become a lock; loser will be among the final five or six teams in (for now).  If Saint Bonaventure and VCU both win in the A-10 Tournament tonight, the winner of tomorrow’s game will be a lock.  Both are good bets to get in just with wins tonight.

At-Large locks and Automatic bids earned below in bold

(Teams projecting as Automatic bids are listed with conference in parentheses)

Teams on the 1 and 2 seeds lines listed according to S-curve, so Michigan State would be the fourth-ranked #1 seed, and Oregon the fourth #2.

1 Kansas Villanova Xavier Michigan State
2 Oregon North Carolina Virginia Oklahoma
3 Miami FL Indiana West Virginia Utah
4 Maryland Arizona Duke Texas A&M
5 Baylor Iowa State Purdue Dayton
6 Kentucky Texas California Notre Dame
7 Providence Seton Hall St Joseph’s Iowa
8 USC Wisconsin Oregon State Butler
9 Cincinnati Gonzaga (WCC) Connecticut Colorado
10 Texas Tech St Mary’s San Diego State (MWC) St Bonaventure
11 Tulsa / Monmouth VCU (A-10) South Caroliina / Wichita State Temple (AAC)
12 Hawaii (Big West) UNC-Wilmington (CAA) Chattanooga (SoCon) Northern Iowa (MVC)
13 Yale (Ivy) Arkansas-Little Rock (Sun Belt) Akron (MAC) Stony Brook (America East)
14 Stephen F Austin (Southland) Iona (MAAC) Middle Tennessee (C-USA) South Dakota State (SUM)
15 New Mexico State (WAC) Green Bay (HOR) UNC-Asheville (Big South) Weber State (Big Sky)
16 Austin Peay (OVC) / Holy Cross (NEC) FGCU (A-Sun) / Fairleigh Dickinson (NEC) Hampton (MEAC) Texas Southern (SWAC)

Last Four BYES:  Colorado, St Mary’s, St Bonaventure, Texas Tech

Last Four IN:  Tulsa, Monmouth, Wichita State, South Carolina

First 4 OUT:  Hofstra, Syracuse, Michigan, Houston

Next 8 OUT:  Pittsburgh, George Washington, Valparaiso, Alabama, Virginia Tech, Florida, LSU, Ohio State

Eliminated from consideration:  Florida State, Georgia Tech, Marquette, Vanderbilt, Washington


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